Elon Musk/Tesla
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Remember kids, money's not real, and stock and shares? An order of magnitude moreso.
- DeskJockey
- Posts: 6362
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2018 8:58 am
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Be interesting to see how many retail investors have been burnt.
---
Driving a Galaxy far far away
Driving a Galaxy far far away
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Oh, also, he's finally gonna get himself on one of those lists of notable people.
Sauce:
https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140 ... 9/fulltext
Sauce:
https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140 ... 9/fulltext
The microsimulation models (table 3) indicated that, in 2025, reductions in USAID funding per capita would result in approximately 1 776 539 (95% uncertainty interval 967 604–2 496 308) all-age deaths and 689 900 (436 368–911 004) deaths in children younger than 5 years. Over the remainder of the period, the complete defunding of USAID would cause an estimated 2 450 000 all-age deaths annually, leading to a total of 14 051 750 (8 475 990–19 662 191) excess all-age deaths and 4 537 157 (3 124 796–5 910 791) excess under-five deaths by 2030.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
I assume anyone with a pension or global index funds will have taken a hit.DeskJockey wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 7:17 pm Be interesting to see how many retail investors have been burnt.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Someone's got to hold the bag.
- DeskJockey
- Posts: 6362
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2018 8:58 am
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
That'll be all (or most) of us then.240PP wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 9:59 pmI assume anyone with a pension or global index funds will have taken a hit.DeskJockey wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 7:17 pm Be interesting to see how many retail investors have been burnt.
---
Driving a Galaxy far far away
Driving a Galaxy far far away
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
People on the left have completely lost itBeany wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 7:17 pm Oh, also, he's finally gonna get himself on one of those lists of notable people.
MuskList.jpg
Sauce:
https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140 ... 9/fulltext
The microsimulation models (table 3) indicated that, in 2025, reductions in USAID funding per capita would result in approximately 1 776 539 (95% uncertainty interval 967 604–2 496 308) all-age deaths and 689 900 (436 368–911 004) deaths in children younger than 5 years. Over the remainder of the period, the complete defunding of USAID would cause an estimated 2 450 000 all-age deaths annually, leading to a total of 14 051 750 (8 475 990–19 662 191) excess all-age deaths and 4 537 157 (3 124 796–5 910 791) excess under-five deaths by 2030.
I think this is fully into Elon Derangement Syndrome at this point.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
I'd be interested in your opinion on the flaws in their simulation.GG. wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 11:26 pmPeople on the left have completely lost itBeany wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 7:17 pm Oh, also, he's finally gonna get himself on one of those lists of notable people.
MuskList.jpg
Sauce:
https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140 ... 9/fulltext
The microsimulation models (table 3) indicated that, in 2025, reductions in USAID funding per capita would result in approximately 1 776 539 (95% uncertainty interval 967 604–2 496 308) all-age deaths and 689 900 (436 368–911 004) deaths in children younger than 5 years. Over the remainder of the period, the complete defunding of USAID would cause an estimated 2 450 000 all-age deaths annually, leading to a total of 14 051 750 (8 475 990–19 662 191) excess all-age deaths and 4 537 157 (3 124 796–5 910 791) excess under-five deaths by 2030.![]()
I think this is fully into Elon Derangement Syndrome at this point.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Published in The Lancet, that famously lefty peer-reviewed scientific medical journal which has been published for over 200 years.
If it’s wrong there will be another paper to refute it. Though since that was published 11 months ago nobody seems to be rushing to correct it.
If it’s wrong there will be another paper to refute it. Though since that was published 11 months ago nobody seems to be rushing to correct it.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
That caused me to go and google.... I know what 95% Confidence Intervals are, but I'd never heard the term "uncertainty intervals"..... my brief search suggests they are broadly the same.Beany wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 7:17 pm Oh, also, he's finally gonna get himself on one of those lists of notable people.
MuskList.jpg
Sauce:
https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140 ... 9/fulltext
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
If we use the London clean air statistics the EVs he’s sold and kick started along with chargers have probably saved a billion kids from dying from asthma 
How about not having a sig at all?
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Well yes - these type of epidemiological modelling projections are notoriously unreliable (see Neil Ferguson) - in addition, the first huge flaw that I can foresee is that I expect it assumes that assistance is not replaced by any other agency or aid (and query if it accounts for economic development, etc). Sadly I don't have time to read the paper in full...
In any event I actually wasn't referring to that aspect at all though - 14 million people may (or may not) die but you can't equate that with deliberate murder and genocide and put Elon's name on a chart - that's quite frankly insulting to those that died and that type of argument by the left goes a long way to undermining legitimate criticism as it makes them look like loonies and not serious people. Its a basic tenet of most legal systems that you're responsible for your actions, not your omissions. On this logic - everyone that mismanaged an economy is then equated as a murderer of the people that died as a result of those worsening economic conditions.
Mao is the interesting dilemma in this debate because he did cause the death of millions during the great famine of 59-61, however, the forceable overthrow of farmers and placing them into collectives (citizens of his own country, not others for whom a government owes much less of a direct moral duty and responsibility, even if you argue with your "world citizen" hat on that there still is one) and huge political repression and human rights abuses pulls this much closer to a point where it there is an obvious positive causal link.
In any event I actually wasn't referring to that aspect at all though - 14 million people may (or may not) die but you can't equate that with deliberate murder and genocide and put Elon's name on a chart - that's quite frankly insulting to those that died and that type of argument by the left goes a long way to undermining legitimate criticism as it makes them look like loonies and not serious people. Its a basic tenet of most legal systems that you're responsible for your actions, not your omissions. On this logic - everyone that mismanaged an economy is then equated as a murderer of the people that died as a result of those worsening economic conditions.
Mao is the interesting dilemma in this debate because he did cause the death of millions during the great famine of 59-61, however, the forceable overthrow of farmers and placing them into collectives (citizens of his own country, not others for whom a government owes much less of a direct moral duty and responsibility, even if you argue with your "world citizen" hat on that there still is one) and huge political repression and human rights abuses pulls this much closer to a point where it there is an obvious positive causal link.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
I think it’s fair to ascribe deaths directly related to USAID cuts DOGE made to Musk tbh.
Like, he seems very proud of his work to this day.
Like, he seems very proud of his work to this day.
An absolute unit
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
That's fine but there's isn't any mileage in discussing further if you think that's reasonable to equate with mass murder.
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
I find myself agreeing with you a lot this week Zed...
Must be the heat...
Must be the heat...
Re: Elon Musk/Tesla
Whilst I don’t like Elon, I’d certainly not put him in the same category as Mao, Stalin or Hitler. Arguing he has orchestrated state-sponsored mass murder, genocide, or campaigns of political terror would be nonsensica, risks trivializing those events and obscuring the important differences between corporate influence in a democratic society and the coercive power of authoritarian regimes.
Cheers,
Ian
Ian