The car market in 10 years
Posted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 12:37 pm
OK, so two things.
Virtually everything will be a BEV, PHEV, or Mild Hybrid. I can't see many cars at all not making it to be at least a mild hybrid, and by that definition I'm including 'low boost' cars like the new C200. This is progress, it's inevitable and I'm fine with it. Hybridification and electrification should bring advantages in many forms to all of us.
However, what is worrying is that I believe we're witnessing the slow demise of the 'traditional' saloon car. So many people now want SUV's, and like guns, once a lot of people have one everyone will want one to protect themselves. I'm from the 'Chris Harris' school of thinking on SUV's. So many are such utterly stupid purchasing decisions - they're more expensive, heavier, handle less well, and use more fuel (with a demonstrable rise in CO2 output linked to SUV sales*) than a normal estate car, but many people buy them just because they give them a slightly higher driving position. This is a very worrying trend IMO. Merc and BMW will sell you an SUV version of most of their cars and Ford is all but cancelling it's 'car' division in the USA, with worrying noises being made about their European business.
*Particularly, with all the effort that manufacturers are making to reduce CO2 emissions and improve fuel efficiency, apparently this effort is being more than 'cancelled out' by the rise in SUV sales and their associated fuel and efficiency penalties.
Virtually everything will be a BEV, PHEV, or Mild Hybrid. I can't see many cars at all not making it to be at least a mild hybrid, and by that definition I'm including 'low boost' cars like the new C200. This is progress, it's inevitable and I'm fine with it. Hybridification and electrification should bring advantages in many forms to all of us.
However, what is worrying is that I believe we're witnessing the slow demise of the 'traditional' saloon car. So many people now want SUV's, and like guns, once a lot of people have one everyone will want one to protect themselves. I'm from the 'Chris Harris' school of thinking on SUV's. So many are such utterly stupid purchasing decisions - they're more expensive, heavier, handle less well, and use more fuel (with a demonstrable rise in CO2 output linked to SUV sales*) than a normal estate car, but many people buy them just because they give them a slightly higher driving position. This is a very worrying trend IMO. Merc and BMW will sell you an SUV version of most of their cars and Ford is all but cancelling it's 'car' division in the USA, with worrying noises being made about their European business.
*Particularly, with all the effort that manufacturers are making to reduce CO2 emissions and improve fuel efficiency, apparently this effort is being more than 'cancelled out' by the rise in SUV sales and their associated fuel and efficiency penalties.