OV9

Mito Man wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:17 pm So...
"Now is the time for everyone to stop non-essential contact with others and to stop all unnecessary travel," the prime minister says.

That was a quick u-turn. Fucking idiots the lot of them. 10 year old could see that was a crap call originally...

Zonda_ wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:54 pm So is my teaching at a college essential or not?

NotoriousREV wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:31 pm As of this morning, they’d tested 44,105 people, of which 1,543 were positive. So, if that sample of people was representative of the U.K. population, that would mean 3.5% of us would have COVID-19, which would be 2.3 million cases.

Except, this sample isn’t representative because they’re only testing people with the severest symptoms and/or have been in contact with someone confirmed to be infected, so it will be far less prevalent in the general population.

Matty wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 10:23 pm I wouldn't be surprised if that 35-50k figure was true. I've heard from various friends-of-friends who have various COVID/Cold/Flu symptoms and have never reported or tested for it, and there's quite a few stories coming forward about people who have it (confirmed) and yet aren't showing any symptoms.

They've started human testing of a vaccine, but still reckon its 6 months+ away.

Edit - they've closed one of the schools by me as one of the kids is positive but asymptomatic. Won't be long now until more follow suit, I've spoken to a couple of headteachers today who claim attendance is well down due to concerned parents...

jamcg wrote: Tue Mar 17, 2020 1:00 am Every adult volunteer registered with the Uk scout association received the same email from Tim Kidd, the Uk chief commissioner- “all face-to-face Scout meetings, activities and events must be suspended from tomorrow, Tuesday, 17 March 2020. This suspension applies to young people and adults, and will be until further notice“

The BBC wrote: The UK's plan has shifted because the scientific modelling showed we were on course for a "catastrophic epidemic".
A strategy of just slowing the spread of the virus, but not trying to stop it, would have overwhelmed intensive care units.
The modelling by Imperial College London has been heavily informed by the experience in Italy and is influencing decisions at the heart of government.
Its calculations predicted 260,000 deaths in the UK.
Instead the plan is to drive down the number of cases to very low levels, which the models predict will limit deaths from coronavirus to the thousands or tens of thousands.
However, this approach comes with a major problem - there is no exit strategy.
Without the immunity that would build up if people were infected, then cases would soar as soon as measures are lifted.
The report said these could need to be in place until a vaccine is available, which could take up to 18 months.
We are in this for the long haul.

NotoriousREV wrote: Tue Mar 17, 2020 7:24 am

The BBC wrote: The UK's plan has shifted because the scientific modelling showed we were on course for a "catastrophic epidemic".
A strategy of just slowing the spread of the virus, but not trying to stop it, would have overwhelmed intensive care units.
The modelling by Imperial College London has been heavily informed by the experience in Italy and is influencing decisions at the heart of government.
Its calculations predicted 260,000 deaths in the UK.
Instead the plan is to drive down the number of cases to very low levels, which the models predict will limit deaths from coronavirus to the thousands or tens of thousands.
However, this approach comes with a major problem - there is no exit strategy.
Without the immunity that would build up if people were infected, then cases would soar as soon as measures are lifted.
The report said these could need to be in place until a vaccine is available, which could take up to 18 months.
We are in this for the long haul.

Pretty fucking bleak...

Rich B wrote: Tue Mar 17, 2020 10:06 am Surely herd immunity is just a euphemism for letting the weak get picked off?