I bet that stings a bit in the nethers.
EU elections
- DeskJockey
- Posts: 5945
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2018 8:58 am
Re: EU elections
I don’t think Farage should be too proud; 31.6% of the vote before Scotland and NI declare is less than the Lib Dems plus the Greens; together they’re the unequivocal Remain parties, even without adding Change UK’s 3.4%, which almost directly offsets UKIP’s 3.3%.
Yes, I said you can’t extrapolate a leave/remain vote properly from the results but when I posted about that above, I really thought that the Brexit Party would get much closer to 40%. Farage’s talk about contesting a general election is such braggadocio; even ignoring the lack of policies, this level of support would not give him a majority in a general election and the harsh reality is it took him years to get a seat for UKIP.
The stupid thing about our constitution is the fact that the Tories can decide the next PM (again) internally with no public vote. At least they don’t have a majority so can’t force anything through Parliament. Theresa’s wasted couple of years have at least set the boundaries of what can and can’t be done by the Government under prerogative powers. We could see Boris giving a revocation notice
Yes, I said you can’t extrapolate a leave/remain vote properly from the results but when I posted about that above, I really thought that the Brexit Party would get much closer to 40%. Farage’s talk about contesting a general election is such braggadocio; even ignoring the lack of policies, this level of support would not give him a majority in a general election and the harsh reality is it took him years to get a seat for UKIP.
The stupid thing about our constitution is the fact that the Tories can decide the next PM (again) internally with no public vote. At least they don’t have a majority so can’t force anything through Parliament. Theresa’s wasted couple of years have at least set the boundaries of what can and can’t be done by the Government under prerogative powers. We could see Boris giving a revocation notice
- NotoriousREV
- Posts: 6436
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm
Re: EU elections
From the BBC:
“Anti-Brexit parties - those in favour of another referendum - collectively took about 40% of the vote, compared with 35% for the two parties in favour of leaving the EU without a deal.”
“Anti-Brexit parties - those in favour of another referendum - collectively took about 40% of the vote, compared with 35% for the two parties in favour of leaving the EU without a deal.”
Middle-aged Dirtbag
Re: EU elections
It’s still impossible to extrapolate though. Turnout is so low compared to the 2016 referendum, and who knows how the Conservative and Labour voters would actually vote in a second referendum, or whether there is a core of Lib Dem and Green voters who would prefer to leave but chose their usual party? This wasn’t actually a single issue vote despite Farage’s publicity trying to make it so.
If we did stay in, it’s depressing who our MEPs will be
If we did stay in, it’s depressing who our MEPs will be
- NotoriousREV
- Posts: 6436
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm
Re: EU elections
Also nice to see that Tommy Robinson lost his deposit with only 2.24%, coming 8th out of 11 candidates. He claims he “wasn’t able to get his message across” thanks to his social media bans. I’d suggest he got his message across just fine. I ended up chucking out 3 of his leaflets, more than I got for any other candidate, and I didn’t see any of the other north-west candidates on national TV, either.
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk ... n-16335921
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk ... n-16335921
Middle-aged Dirtbag
- NotoriousREV
- Posts: 6436
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm
Re: EU elections
Yep, but still shows how divided we all are, which is the most depressing part.Jobbo wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 8:31 am It’s still impossible to extrapolate though. Turnout is so low compared to the 2016 referendum, and who knows how the Conservative and Labour voters would actually vote in a second referendum, or whether there is a core of Lib Dem and Green voters who would prefer to leave but chose their usual party? This wasn’t actually a single issue vote despite Farage’s publicity trying to make it so.
If we did stay in, it’s depressing who our MEPs will be![]()
Middle-aged Dirtbag
Re: EU elections
Doesn't look very divided to me at all


Re: EU elections
Aye the collapse of the Kippers has been fun to watch. Shame it looks like the voters jumped to The Brexit Party, shows how much of it is just a cult of personality around Farage.NotoriousREV wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 8:32 am Also nice to see that Tommy Robinson lost his deposit with only 2.24%, coming 8th out of 11 candidates. He claims he “wasn’t able to get his message across” thanks to his social media bans. I’d suggest he got his message across just fine. I ended up chucking out 3 of his leaflets, more than I got for any other candidate, and I didn’t see any of the other north-west candidates on national TV, either.
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk ... n-16335921
An absolute unit
Re: EU elections
That image completely fails to represent the large number of Lib Dem MEPs. The MEPs actually elected are also utterly irrelevant to the level of support for leave or remain.
Quite ironic that a Brexiter should crow about their MEPs winning seats
Re: EU elections
Of course IDGAF about MEPs although the eu parliament will undoubtedly be a more entertaining place going forward.
Politics has always divided people. What I'm seeing here is the voice of a clear majority of the public in favour of one sole course of action. Leaving the EU asap and to hell with the consequences.
The division lies between everyone else who seemingly can agree on an alternative course of action.
Politics has always divided people. What I'm seeing here is the voice of a clear majority of the public in favour of one sole course of action. Leaving the EU asap and to hell with the consequences.
The division lies between everyone else who seemingly can agree on an alternative course of action.
- NotoriousREV
- Posts: 6436
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm
Re: EU elections
I agree. 40% of the vote for Remain vs 35% for Hard Brexit is very clear and they should just get on with withdrawing Article 50.evostick wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 12:15 pm What I'm seeing here is the voice of a clear majority of the public in favour of one sole course of action.
Middle-aged Dirtbag
Re: EU elections
It's a shame that your spurious 40% can't all get it together and vote for one party with one common goal. You might get your way.NotoriousREV wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 12:23 pmI agree. 40% of the vote for Remain vs 35% for Hard Brexit is very clear and they should just get on with withdrawing Article 50.evostick wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 12:15 pm What I'm seeing here is the voice of a clear majority of the public in favour of one sole course of action.
As it is. You're fucked.
- NotoriousREV
- Posts: 6436
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm
Re: EU elections
Spurious?
“With 10 of the 12 regions having declared, the total for the Liberal Democrats, Greens and Change UK was 5.95million.
That is compared with 5.79million for the Brexit Party and Ukip.”
“With 10 of the 12 regions having declared, the total for the Liberal Democrats, Greens and Change UK was 5.95million.
That is compared with 5.79million for the Brexit Party and Ukip.”
Middle-aged Dirtbag
Re: EU elections
Spurious as in you've cobbled together the vote share for three separate political parties, none of which is a single issue party, to try and claim that you have some kind of mandate by majority.NotoriousREV wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 12:38 pm Spurious?
“With 10 of the 12 regions having declared, the total for the Liberal Democrats, Greens and Change UK was 5.95million.
That is compared with 5.79million for the Brexit Party and Ukip.”
- NotoriousREV
- Posts: 6436
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm
Re: EU elections
I agree with you, it doesn’t show a mandate. We’d better have that 2nd referendum. I’m happy we’re so closely aligned on this.
Middle-aged Dirtbag
Re: EU elections
Given the make up of the vote was 35% clear hard Brexit it would only take 1 in 5 of the others to be pro leave for a remain/hard Brexit referendum to result in leave.
If there was a vote on that tomorrow I can't see any other outcome.
If there was a vote on that tomorrow I can't see any other outcome.
- Orange Cola
- Posts: 2232
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 7:56 pm
Re: EU elections
So we can conclude the 51% majority of leave is now down to 35%. Fucking awesome.
Mustang GT 5.0 V8 -- Jaguar F-Pace
Re: EU elections
LOL you can conclude that if youre daftOrange Cola wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 3:10 pm So we can conclude the 51% majority of leave is now down to 35%. Fucking awesome.
- Orange Cola
- Posts: 2232
- Joined: Wed Apr 11, 2018 7:56 pm
Re: EU elections
It was tongue in cheek, you can have that for freeBroccers wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 3:11 pmLOL you can conclude that if youre daftOrange Cola wrote: Mon May 27, 2019 3:10 pm So we can conclude the 51% majority of leave is now down to 35%. Fucking awesome.![]()
Mustang GT 5.0 V8 -- Jaguar F-Pace