Re: Bye Bye Sunak..
Posted: Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:17 pm
Today was my last day working on Thames Water projects, it will surprise nobody to learn that they are an absolute shower of cunts and I am delighted to walk away from it.
Remember the Whigs? Parties do come to an end.dinny_g wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 1:26 pm Politics is cyclical - no doubt they're heading for a long time in the doldrums but eventually, people will become dissatisfied with their lot under Labour and vote for change.
It's as certain as time and tide...
No… but then again, I’m not 180 years old…Jobbo wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 1:48 pmRemember the Whigs? Parties do come to an end.dinny_g wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 1:26 pm Politics is cyclical - no doubt they're heading for a long time in the doldrums but eventually, people will become dissatisfied with their lot under Labour and vote for change.
It's as certain as time and tide...
And that's the problem. Even decent potential ministers of the future are going to be tarred with the same brush if they stick to the Tory/Labour party divide. Where there appears to be a genuine possibility of a party coming to the end of its natural life - and the Tory party does genuinely look like that as its voters die off and aren't replaced - there's an opportunity. I don't think the Lib Dems could step up and I fear that someone like Farage could rally a worse version of the Tories as a semi-viable party; but a slightly more socially-focussed alternative to the current Conservative party could attract many defectors from both Labour and Conservatives.Mito Man wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 1:51 pm I just see a turd in a red wrapper and a turd in a blue wrapper.
I wouldn't disagree with that. Sadly I'm not confident it will happen. I genuinely think the system has become so broken now that a PR-based system might actually have more pro's than con's. It might enable parties to becomes more focussed on what they want to appeal to, rather than the current 2 party system whereby both are trying to appeal to everyone, but appealing to no one as a result. It's clear with Starmer that he won't commit to anything in the run up to an election for fear that it will swing a group of potential voters away from them. See also the nonsense with the Cons refusing to provide clarity on HS2 Ph2b - they're just dangling a carrot to the Tory faithful whilst also not committing to bin it for fear of losing those pro-HS2.Jobbo wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:37 pmAnd that's the problem. Even decent potential ministers of the future are going to be tarred with the same brush if they stick to the Tory/Labour party divide. Where there appears to be a genuine possibility of a party coming to the end of its natural life - and the Tory party does genuinely look like that as its voters die off and aren't replaced - there's an opportunity. I don't think the Lib Dems could step up and I fear that someone like Farage could rally a worse version of the Tories as a semi-viable party; but a slightly more socially-focussed alternative to the current Conservative party could attract many defectors from both Labour and Conservatives.Mito Man wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 1:51 pm I just see a turd in a red wrapper and a turd in a blue wrapper.
I agree - it's highly unlikely unless someone really good and motivated were to instigate it. But if the Tories implode after losing the next election then maybe it could. Fingers crossed.
Jobbo wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:50 pmI agree - it's highly unlikely unless someone really good and motivated were to instigate it. But if the Tories implode after losing the next election then maybe it could. Fingers crossed.
Ah, but that was before Rishi promised no more 20mph zones!Jobbo wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 11:18 am Interesting polling which indicates not just a loss for the Tories at the next general election but a possible future permanent wipe-out.
Also indicates that rejoining the EU is highly likely - no timescale of course but the will is there.
Sorry it's Twitter; I can see it but maybe some can't?
duncs500 wrote: Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:17 pm Today was my last day working on Thames Water projects, it will surprise nobody to learn that they are an absolute shower of cunts and I am delighted to walk away from it.
PR is the only right answer. It is, as you well know, not without issues but it is the only democratic option. FPtP is not democratic.Swervin_Mervin wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:46 pmI wouldn't disagree with that. Sadly I'm not confident it will happen. I genuinely think the system has become so broken now that a PR-based system might actually have more pro's than con's. It might enable parties to becomes more focussed on what they want to appeal to, rather than the current 2 party system whereby both are trying to appeal to everyone, but appealing to no one as a result. It's clear with Starmer that he won't commit to anything in the run up to an election for fear that it will swing a group of potential voters away from them. See also the nonsense with the Cons refusing to provide clarity on HS2 Ph2b - they're just dangling a carrot to the Tory faithful whilst also not committing to bin it for fear of losing those pro-HS2.Jobbo wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:37 pmAnd that's the problem. Even decent potential ministers of the future are going to be tarred with the same brush if they stick to the Tory/Labour party divide. Where there appears to be a genuine possibility of a party coming to the end of its natural life - and the Tory party does genuinely look like that as its voters die off and aren't replaced - there's an opportunity. I don't think the Lib Dems could step up and I fear that someone like Farage could rally a worse version of the Tories as a semi-viable party; but a slightly more socially-focussed alternative to the current Conservative party could attract many defectors from both Labour and Conservatives.Mito Man wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 1:51 pm I just see a turd in a red wrapper and a turd in a blue wrapper.
Democracy is not a fixed concept. Indeed what we know as democracy would be completely alien to the Ancient Greeks that coined the word. There is a sweet spot between "the most" democracy (i.e. something that is cleaner in correlating the individuals vote to it having a corresponding effect, i.e. PR) and the most effective functioning system of government. I'm not saying PR doesn't have its benefits but be careful what you wish for. At one point UKIP would have had 100 seats in parliament. PR would invigorate extreme parties at both ends of the spectrum and potentially encourage factionalism and pork barrel politics.DeskJockey wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 4:38 pmPR is the only right answer. It is, as you well know, not without issues but it is the only democratic option. FPtP is not democratic.Swervin_Mervin wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:46 pmI wouldn't disagree with that. Sadly I'm not confident it will happen. I genuinely think the system has become so broken now that a PR-based system might actually have more pro's than con's. It might enable parties to becomes more focussed on what they want to appeal to, rather than the current 2 party system whereby both are trying to appeal to everyone, but appealing to no one as a result. It's clear with Starmer that he won't commit to anything in the run up to an election for fear that it will swing a group of potential voters away from them. See also the nonsense with the Cons refusing to provide clarity on HS2 Ph2b - they're just dangling a carrot to the Tory faithful whilst also not committing to bin it for fear of losing those pro-HS2.Jobbo wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:37 pm
And that's the problem. Even decent potential ministers of the future are going to be tarred with the same brush if they stick to the Tory/Labour party divide. Where there appears to be a genuine possibility of a party coming to the end of its natural life - and the Tory party does genuinely look like that as its voters die off and aren't replaced - there's an opportunity. I don't think the Lib Dems could step up and I fear that someone like Farage could rally a worse version of the Tories as a semi-viable party; but a slightly more socially-focussed alternative to the current Conservative party could attract many defectors from both Labour and Conservatives.
I agree, but for better or worse, you're not going to see change or increased voter engagement until votes actually matter across the board. And the UKIP example is only relevant in the context of what is effectively a two party system where options are extremely limited. Remember the last time there was a significant shift was when labour came on the scene.GG. wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 4:42 pmDemocracy is not a fixed concept. Indeed what we know as democracy would be completely alien to the Ancient Greeks that coined the word. There is a sweet spot between "the most" democracy (i.e. something that is cleaner in correlating the individuals vote to it having a corresponding effect, i.e. PR) and the most effective functioning system of government. I'm not saying PR doesn't have its benefits but be careful what you wish for. At one point UKIP would have had 100 seats in parliament.DeskJockey wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 4:38 pmPR is the only right answer. It is, as you well know, not without issues but it is the only democratic option. FPtP is not democratic.Swervin_Mervin wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:46 pm
I wouldn't disagree with that. Sadly I'm not confident it will happen. I genuinely think the system has become so broken now that a PR-based system might actually have more pro's than con's. It might enable parties to becomes more focussed on what they want to appeal to, rather than the current 2 party system whereby both are trying to appeal to everyone, but appealing to no one as a result. It's clear with Starmer that he won't commit to anything in the run up to an election for fear that it will swing a group of potential voters away from them. See also the nonsense with the Cons refusing to provide clarity on HS2 Ph2b - they're just dangling a carrot to the Tory faithful whilst also not committing to bin it for fear of losing those pro-HS2.
The AfD have >10% of the seats in the Bundestag and they are surely equivalent to a UKIP and not in a two party system so you will almost certainly get more extreme MPs than you would otherwise. I just fear it would lead to even less effective decision making - I mean look what happens when you have a hung parliament - you're basically engineering that into the system.DeskJockey wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 4:49 pmI agree, but for better or worse, you're not going to see change or increased voter engagement until votes actually matter across the board. And the UKIP example is only relevant in the context of what is effectively a two party system where options are extremely limited. Remember the last time there was a significant shift was when labour came on the scene.GG. wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 4:42 pmDemocracy is not a fixed concept. Indeed what we know as democracy would be completely alien to the Ancient Greeks that coined the word. There is a sweet spot between "the most" democracy (i.e. something that is cleaner in correlating the individuals vote to it having a corresponding effect, i.e. PR) and the most effective functioning system of government. I'm not saying PR doesn't have its benefits but be careful what you wish for. At one point UKIP would have had 100 seats in parliament.DeskJockey wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 4:38 pm
PR is the only right answer. It is, as you well know, not without issues but it is the only democratic option. FPtP is not democratic.
With more parties to vote for you'll hopefully get better representation, tempering the extremes, but at some cost to efficiency.