Southport

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Simon
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Re: Southport

Post by Simon »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:10 am If Russia wanted to nuke us, they’d nuke us. MAD is a moronic defence strategy.
Possibly the most silly thing I've read on here in the entire history of the internet. Sorry Zed, but it is.

The very reason that Russia wouldn't nuke a nuclear armed coalition is because they'd get turned to glass themselves. That is literally the point of MAD. If only the bad guys had nukes and the good guys gave them up how quickly do you think we'd last?

Let me tell you... Not long enough to even get the guitar out and sing Kumbaya.
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ZedLeg
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Re: Southport

Post by ZedLeg »

Meh, it’s a conversation I’ve had endlessly and it still seems dumb to spend 10s of billions on dick swinging as a defence.
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RobYob
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Re: Southport

Post by RobYob »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:23 pm Meh, it’s a conversation I’ve had endlessly and it still seems dumb to spend 10s of billions on dick swinging as a defence.
Dumb, absolutely. Effective? 40 million Ukrainians probably wished they'd held on to theirs, just in case.
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ZedLeg
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Re: Southport

Post by ZedLeg »

Would it have stopped Russia?

I don’t think so, the whole point is that it’s a deterrent but it’s only a deterrent to not use nuclear weapons.

Unless Ukraine would’ve been willing to use them first which would’ve triggered a nuclear exchange anyway.

It’s a silly catch 22 and we’re spending a couple of bil a year maintaining it.
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Re: Southport

Post by RobYob »

V8Granite wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:41 am Australia is ramming policies down the throats to do with immigration and the Aboriginal communities. Which seem strange as even when you land it comes over the tannoy and says “we pay our respect to the elders past and present” it’s massively more left wing politically than any country I’ve ever been to. Lots of protests in Perth, Hong Kong, religious, Aboriginal, immigration etc etc.

Dave!
Australian is recovering from a dark decade of religo-conservative government of the "Liberal" party up to 2022. The "Welcome to country" is a pretty paltry payback to the Australian First Nations people who live signifcantly shorter and poorer lives.

Australia is in the midst of a massive housing cost crisis partially brought on by business' lust for cheap labour and hence very high migration.
The hypocrisy of the conservatives absolutely on show when they'd sound the "No (dark) refugees" dogwhistle at election time and get a proper fanfare from Mudoch's toxic arsenal of arseholes. Refugees to Australia got locked up in the desert for a decade or shipped off to some extremely dodgy SE Asian third country for "processing".

A shameful chapter in our history.
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Gavster
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Re: Southport

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ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:07 am
Gavster wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:02 am I honestly think that some of you need to work in/with the charity sector for a few years 🤣 it inserted a healthy dose of pragmatism into theoretical ideals.
How so?

I volunteered with a refugee charity while I was unemployed and have had experience with other areas of social care charities due to my partner’s health conditions.
Because it's often the real-world experience which exposes people to the spectrum of situations that migrants and refugees experience and how charity or government interacts with them, as well as the problems inherent in all aspects of those organisations and the migrants themselves, thus shifting their opinion to be more pragmatic and less idealistic.
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Re: Southport

Post by RobYob »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:51 pm Would it have stopped Russia?
Possibly not against the annexation of Crimea in 2014 by the "little green men" but you can imagine as thousands of tanks rolled across the border in 2022 and the country faced enslavement the big red button would have absolutely been on the cards.
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Swervin_Mervin
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Re: Southport

Post by Swervin_Mervin »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:51 pm Would it have stopped Russia?

I don’t think so, the whole point is that it’s a deterrent but it’s only a deterrent to not use nuclear weapons.

Unless Ukraine would’ve been willing to use them first which would’ve triggered a nuclear exchange anyway.

It’s a silly catch 22 and we’re spending a couple of bil a year maintaining it.
A very, very small price to pay in the grand scheme of things. Far, far more gets spaffed away on many other genuine wastes of public resources.

If those that banged on about the nuclear deterrent spend banged on as much about the £billions spent/wasted elsewhere it would be time far better spent.
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Rich B
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Re: Southport

Post by Rich B »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:23 pm Meh, it’s a conversation I’ve had endlessly and it still seems dumb to spend 10s of billions on dick swinging as a defence.
for what it’s worth, i agree - it’s totally insane that we’ve got into the situation where all sides are spending enough to solve most of their actual problems on a big shiny dick that they can never actually use, because if they do the world ends.
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Gavster
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Re: Southport

Post by Gavster »

Mito Man wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:11 am Christ we've got some experts here, how about you all go work for the government and sort it all out if it's so simple?
I don't think anyone is saying it's simple :lol: in fact Beany has said very clearly, it's not simple.
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dinny_g
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Re: Southport

Post by dinny_g »

But we should let inward migration continue unchecked until someone works it all out, right ?
JLv3.0 wrote: Thu Jun 21, 2018 4:26 pm I say this rarely Dave, but listen to Dinny because he's right.
Rich B wrote: Thu Jun 02, 2022 1:57 pm but Dinny was right…
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ZedLeg
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Re: Southport

Post by ZedLeg »

Swervin_Mervin wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:13 pm
ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 12:51 pm Would it have stopped Russia?

I don’t think so, the whole point is that it’s a deterrent but it’s only a deterrent to not use nuclear weapons.

Unless Ukraine would’ve been willing to use them first which would’ve triggered a nuclear exchange anyway.

It’s a silly catch 22 and we’re spending a couple of bil a year maintaining it.
A very, very small price to pay in the grand scheme of things. Far, far more gets spaffed away on many other genuine wastes of public resources.

If those that banged on about the nuclear deterrent spend banged on as much about the £billions spent/wasted elsewhere it would be time far better spent.
People do, no one can agree what is a waste of money though.
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ZedLeg
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Re: Southport

Post by ZedLeg »

dinny_g wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:20 pm But we should let inward migration continue unchecked until someone works it all out, right ?
Better than letting people drown in the channel, right?
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Re: Southport

Post by dinny_g »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:20 pm People do, no one can agree what is a waste of money though.
Prime Ministers pensions ?? :D
JLv3.0 wrote: Thu Jun 21, 2018 4:26 pm I say this rarely Dave, but listen to Dinny because he's right.
Rich B wrote: Thu Jun 02, 2022 1:57 pm but Dinny was right…
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Beany
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Re: Southport

Post by Beany »

I'm not claiming to have answers, other than education on the matter for the populace at large, as it's undeniable that many people just aren't that familiar with immigration, past the headlines. Even I'm just a reasonably-informed layperson on the matter with a cynical stripe when it comes to policy, which I don't think is unhealthy given the last fifteen years :lol:

As I've said, immigration is a complex problem and simple answers like caps etc just aren't serious solutions to it. I'm not picking on you specifically Jimmy, I'm really not, but you have put out some common ideas on the matter that get floated about, that are relatively straight-forward to critique with fairly common knowledge once you start to look into it - it's nothing more than that.
"Idealistic Solutions are generally unsuccessful" and "Realistic solutions are often unpalatable but generally successful"
I don't really think I've said anything particularly idealistic, maybe it comes across that way - I think I've pointed out where "simple" policies have demonstrably failed here and elsewhere - either practically, or where they would fail when challenged in court if put against international conventions we signed up to, should an organisation like the Law Society or a well funded refugee oriented charity pick it up on someone's behalf, etc. (as Gavster alluded to, without such orgs, the conventions are kinda useless if a Govt wants to try to sidestep them)

The thing is, we've not had realistic solutions in this country (nor have many Western countries during this most recent bout of "I'm A Celebrity" politics) the last twenty odd years we've had a lot of populist rhetoric that plays well in the press and on social media - and a complete lack of responsibility from politicians of most stripes to actually tackle the problem in a serious manner (including how it's presented in the press and disseminated on social media), and that's broadly what has got us where we are today.

The only solution I've really suggested is education on what immigration is and how it works practically and legally (and yes, including abuse of the systems as that's important to quantify if you're going to have a successful system supported by an informed public), because if people are less knee jerk about it, maybe we can actually find a realistic solution to the issue.

But the way it is now, that's seems unrealistic as a small, noisy subsection of society (for clarity, no-one on here IMO) have been told that we don't need immigration, and that immigrants are bad for the last forty years (longer than the populism) and they believe it. And why wouldn't they - both by the press and both sides of the political divide have done this - because it's convenient and easy votes for politicians, and sells newspapers (and these days, gets clicks), for the press.

Untangling that is another complex problem that I don't really have an answer for either other than, broad 'inform people' suggestions - I dunno, full page ads in the press? Primetime ads? Documentaries? Public Service announcements? Classes in school? But educate and inform we must because otherwise we're going nowhere.

It won't impact the rioters or the people who think we can just stop immigration cold and we'll be back in the 50s (the sort of slightly racist, often retired, typically Conservative or Reform voting type), but for the majority of people who are concerned and want a solution rather than something to rail against - more like us - it'll give a more informed position on the matter, and maybe we can have a chance at finding a decent middle ground at least, without so much rhetoric.

And when we do eventually come up with a realistic solution (which we seemed to have, as Dave!! notes, in the past, before the press got all race baity in earnest, before society seemed to get more divisive with social media, etc) I'm sure that plenty of people will find fault with it, but it's gotta be better than it being used as a political football to get votes - as it it's been used for up till now - with no apparent serious intent to fix anything.

Maybe that is idealistic. But it seems like a pretty low bar to clear, no?
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ZedLeg
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Re: Southport

Post by ZedLeg »

Gavster wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:07 pm
ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:07 am
Gavster wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:02 am I honestly think that some of you need to work in/with the charity sector for a few years 🤣 it inserted a healthy dose of pragmatism into theoretical ideals.
How so?

I volunteered with a refugee charity while I was unemployed and have had experience with other areas of social care charities due to my partner’s health conditions.
Because it's often the real-world experience which exposes people to the spectrum of situations that migrants and refugees experience and how charity or government interacts with them, as well as the problems inherent in all aspects of those organisations and the migrants themselves, thus shifting their opinion to be more pragmatic and less idealistic.
You need a bit of idealism to be progressive imo. You need to believe things can change to put the effort into trying to change them.

Pragmatism can often be a pretentious way of justifying doing nothing.
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Re: Southport

Post by IanF »

Can we all agree that Musk is a total cunt though!..
Cheers,

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Gavster
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Re: Southport

Post by Gavster »

Beany wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:25 pm I'm not claiming to have answers...
I've run your essay though ChatGPT to get an abridved version in case that helps anyone :lol:

• Lack of Familiarity: Many people are not well-versed in immigration beyond headlines; education on the matter is essential.
• Complex Problem: Immigration is complex; simple solutions like caps are not serious solutions.
• Common Critiques: Common ideas on immigration often fail practically or legally against international conventions.
• Political Rhetoric: Recent years have seen populist rhetoric rather than realistic solutions from politicians and the media.
• Need for Realistic Solutions: There has been a lack of responsible and serious approaches to tackling immigration issues.
• Education as a Solution: Educating the public on immigration, including system abuses, is necessary for finding realistic solutions.
• Impact of Misinformation: Misinformation over the years has led to a segment of society opposing immigration, driven by convenient narratives for votes and media sales.
• Methods of Education: Suggested methods include ads, documentaries, public service announcements, and classes in schools.
• Long-term Goal: Educating the public could lead to informed discussions and realistic solutions, reducing rhetoric and divisiveness.
• Challenges Ahead: Changing entrenched beliefs is challenging, but necessary for finding a decent middle ground and effective policies.
• Cynicism and Idealism: Despite potential idealism, aiming for informed public discourse and responsible policymaking is a modest and necessary goal.
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Rich B
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Re: Southport

Post by Rich B »

chatGPT is fucking clever - has anyone thought to ask it for the solution?
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Gavster
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Re: Southport

Post by Gavster »

ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:52 pm
Gavster wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:07 pm
ZedLeg wrote: Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:07 am

How so?

I volunteered with a refugee charity while I was unemployed and have had experience with other areas of social care charities due to my partner’s health conditions.
Because it's often the real-world experience which exposes people to the spectrum of situations that migrants and refugees experience and how charity or government interacts with them, as well as the problems inherent in all aspects of those organisations and the migrants themselves, thus shifting their opinion to be more pragmatic and less idealistic.
You need a bit of idealism to be progressive imo. You need to believe things can change to put the effort into trying to change them.

Pragmatism can often be a pretentious way of justifying doing nothing.
There's some truth in your idealism statement for sure. It's like having a 'North star' to aim for, even if you don't reach it. If we take an example like the UN Sustainable Development Goals, which were launched in 2015 and supposed to lead us into a sustainable world by 2030. With only six years left we have massively under-delivered on the goals, and worse we've regressed on some indicators. Measured by implementation their worthless. However, there's a lot to be said for them existing as a principle or overarching goal to point towards and (hopefully) get people to deliver against - e.g. how bad would it be if we didn't have them.

It also points to where people are most effective within a given system, some people are good at campaigning in the face of constant failure, whereas I'm not :lol: I need to understand how my actions are having an impact otherwise they feel wasted. I stepped away from developing policy documents because I spent a lot of time negotiating the in-fighting within organisations and delivering reports which had vast amounts of research and work in them, yet ultimately had zero quantifiable impact. On the other hand, I can make a video about out of date yoghurt and the immediate feedback loop of comments means I can determine how that's had a positive impact on reducing food waste.
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